
With the not unexpected defeat of Japan's ruling and ironically named Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) in recent elections, the opposition Democratic Part of Japan is poised to take the reigns of power at last.
The LDP has ruled Japan for all but 11 months of the past five decades, and while many claim this election victory merely proves Japan doesn't really change, many others believe this time the change will last.
While it might be tempting to believe that a Democratic government in Japan will veer the nation back towards more traditional post-WWII Japanese values like those reflected in the pacifist
MacArthur constitution, it is unlikely.
Far more likely is another blip on the political landscape; a promising experiment with change that sadly yields none. Japan's Democratic Party is unproven, inexperienced, and quite possibly unprepared for the vengeance the LDP will surely unleash in their attempts force another election and regain power.
Japan does not change easily. They country, although vibrantly democratic to all appearances, is still essentially a Meiji era construct where a few families, companies, and institutions hold true power. In many ways, this hasn't changed for hundreds of years.
Japan will continue to do what Japan does, to a great extent regardless of what political party is in power. The pendulum will swing, opinion and policy will evolve, but the core will stay very much the same.
Whether this is good or bad for the people of Japan is a question that rarely gets asked, as it is difficult to answer.